Can Trump Still Win? No. He’s Already Lost.

first_imgThe largest margin to be overturned in a recent recount came in Minnesota’s 2008 Senate contest, when a 215-vote margin for Senator Norm Coleman, the incumbent Republican, was reversed, becoming a 312-vote advantage for Al Franken, the Democratic candidate, after a court ruled that hundreds of absentee ballots were wrongly rejected.In the days since the election, Mr. Trump and his top aides and some supporters have claimed that the vote in key states was marked by rampant fraud, but they have yet to document any evidence of widespread voting malfeasance. Elections officials in all 50 states told The New York Times this week that they were unaware of any fraud or other election improprieties in their states. Mr. Biden’s winning margins in the key battleground states he has captured — 20,000 votes in Wisconsin, 54,000 votes in Pennsylvania and 148,000 votes in Michigan — are well above the thresholds of votes that have been changed in previous recounts.Even in Georgia, where officials are preparing for a hand recount of the ballots, Mr. Biden leads by 14,000 votes, a margin that is unlikely to be reversed.(Mr. Biden also leads by 11,000 votes in Arizona, but elections officials there are still counting absentee votes that arrived by mail.) With no chance to change the popular vote outcome in battleground states, lawyers said Mr. Trump’s legal strategy, such as there is one, appeared to be an attempt to delay state elections officials’ certification of Mr. Biden as the winner, which could throw the question of appointing delegates to the Electoral College to Republican-controlled state legislatures.Even this theory relies on a series of one-in-a-hundred legal bank shots all being successful in multiple states simultaneously — which would certainly result in broad public outrage over reversing the results of a decided election.“Those are the kind of things you wake up thinking about in the middle of the night. It would really blow the roof off if they tried to steal an election in that fashion,” Mr. McDonough said. “If people were to so blatantly disregard the fundamentals of democracy, God knows what would happen, how people would react to it.”Most states are set to certify their election results and declare winners by the end of November — a process that may lead to more official recounts this month but also formal conclusions about the results.“At some point it becomes obvious even to the most ardent supporters of the president that there’s no pathway,” said Lanhee Chen, who was the policy director for Mitt Romney’s 2012 presidential campaign. The New York Times and other news media outlets have not anointed Mr. Biden the winner of the presidential election, but have just done the math: The former vice president has won enough states by enough votes that Mr. Trump cannot overcome those deficits through legal challenges or recounts.“He has no chance of overturning the result — it’s just impossible,” said Gerry McDonough, a Democratic elections lawyer who worked for Vice President Al Gore’s legal team on the 2000 Florida recount. “I’m a recount lawyer here in Massachusetts and I get requests from people all the time and they say, ‘I’m just 50 votes behind and we’re sure there were these bad actors.’ I won’t take a case like that.”That 2000 Florida recount came after George W. Bush held an unofficial lead of just 1,784 votes over Mr. Gore the morning after Election Day; his final winning margin in the state was 537 votes.- Advertisement – Five days after television networks and other major news organizations called the presidential election for Joseph R. Biden Jr., President Trump continues to maintain that he “will win.”That is false.- Advertisement – Each day that passes without Mr. Trump providing a court evidence of voting fraud makes his legal odds longer, Democratic and Republican lawyers said.“The path for him winning is being able to back up his rhetoric and find sufficient fraud and irregularities in enough individual states to overturn their results,” said Ben Ginsberg, a Republican lawyer who worked for Mr. Bush in the 2000 election, and who retired this year and turned against Mr. Trump. “So far, they’ve utterly failed to do that and, based on their court filings, are not anywhere close.” – Advertisement – Updated Nov. 12, 2020, 1:52 p.m. ET – Advertisement –last_img read more

All aboard for ESI Birmingham on May 24th

first_imgESI Birmingham, a one day esports business symposium connected to the UK’s first major ESL One Birmingham, is now less than one week away.On Thursday 24th May, a day prior to the first day of the fastest selling Dota 2 major ever, we will host a one day conference in partnership with ESL UK, Intel, PwC and the NEC Group.Taking place at The Foundry at Arena Birmingham, there will be six sessions in total, with four panels and two keynotes, as well as plenty of networking opportunities and an undoubtedly delicious lunch. Tim Mangnall, Hugh HollandTim Mangnall is Director at Hugh Holland, who recently signed an agreement for selling global sponsorship rights on behalf of NODWIN Gaming, is amongst the speakers at ESI Birmingham. Mangnall will, appropriately, be sitting on a panel called ‘Where is the revenue?’ alongside speakers from the likes of Jagex, Heaven Media, Fnatic, Bitkraft with lawyer Anna Baumann in the moderator’s seat. He told Esports Insider: “The global esports industry is one of fantastic scale and momentum, a growth story we’re witnessing some truly astounding results from, buoyed by a combination of experiential, online and commercial excellence that I truly believe is defining the future of effective media strategies worldwide.“The UK esports profile delivers undeniable value on a global stage, hence why events such as Esports Insider Birmingham, and the full portfolio of ESI events provide a vital platform of engagement with an international audience like no other. Hugh Holland is proud to be represented at the ESI Birmingham, and will continue to champion the great results achieved at each event.”Tickets remain available for the event on the Thursday, and attendees also receive access to the Dota 2 major, including the option for a particularly exclusive backstage tour on the Friday morning, as well as an official after party at the Grosvenor casino on the Thursday evening. It’s certainly one not to be missed. You can check the full agenda here.Media partners involved include our friends over at DBLTAP and Esports News UK, whilst there will be plenty more press there on the day, and of course for the weekend too as a historic weekend for esports in the UK takes place in central Birmingham. Make sure you’re a part of it!Esports Insider says: This is one of our events. So clearly, we think you should come along. It is partnered with the likes of ESL UK, Intel, the NEC Group and it’s the first proper involvement of PwC at an esports business focused event. It includes extensive learning and networking opportunities, including an after party at the Grosvenor, and you get access to the fastest selling Dota 2 major; ESL One Birmingham. See you next week?last_img read more