US plan paints grim picture of flu pandemic

first_img The New York Times, which obtained a recent draft of the plan, said it describes a worst-case scenario in which the flu would kill more than 1.9 million Americans, put 8.5 million in hospitals, and cost more than $450 billion. The administration has said it has 4.3 million treatment courses of oseltamivir (Tamiflu) and is aiming for 20 million. However, infectious disease expert Michael T. Osterholm said the draft plan obtained by the Times is out of date. “There have been tremendous improvements in the plan over the last week to 10 days,” an Oct 9 report in the Washington Post quoted Osterholm as saying. He is director of the University of Minnesota Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, publisher of this site. Osterholm confirmed that the plan predicts a death toll as high as 1.9 million, with as many as half of all Americans getting sick. The new draft predicts that an emerging pandemic in Asia, where widespread avian flu has killed more than 60 people and generated fear of an epidemic, would be likely to reach US shores in a few months or even weeks, the Times said in an Oct 8 report. Quarantines and travel restrictions, while recommended, probably would not postpone the disease’s arrival “by more than a month or two.” According to the Times, the plan says the nation should have the capacity to produce 600 million doses of vaccine within 6 months, more than 10 times the current capacity. It also calls for a national stockpile of 133 million treatment courses of antiviral drugs. One section of the plan, the Times reported, describes a hypothetical scenario in which severe respiratory illness erupts in a village overseas in April, reaches the United States in June, and triggers small outbreaks around the nation by July. When scientists isolate the virus, as the scenario goes, they determine that the avian flu vaccine developed in advance will provide only partial protection. Aug 26, 2004, CIDRAP News story on earlier draft of the US pandemic plan Release of the draft plan has been expected for weeks. HHS Secretary Mike Leavitt, now visiting Southeast Asia to promote pandemic preparedness, said the plan would be released in a few days, according to an Associated press (AP) report published today. Under the plan, he told the newspaper, the military probably would be used to help move critical supplies and guard vaccination centers. But the document foresees only a small role for quarantines, and many decisions on how to manage disruptions and shortages would be made by local, not national, officials. Leavitt is accompanied on his tour by World Health Organization Director-General Lee Jong-Wook. On the crucial question of who would get vaccine first in a pandemic, the plan’s answer is workers who make the vaccines and flu drugs, along with medical personnel caring for flu patients, the Times story said. Following them would be the elderly and severely ill, pregnant women, transplant and AIDS patients, and parents of babies. Firefighters and government leaders would be next. Those numbers suggest that the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is taking a more somber view of the risks than it did in the previous draft plan, released in August 2004. That document cited earlier estimates that pandemic flu could cause between 89,000 and 207,000 deaths in the United States. The document says a pandemic could overwhelm hospitals, touch off riots at vaccination clinics, and lead to power and food shortages, the newspaper said. Until recently, the plan regarded a pandemic as “more like an earthquake or hurricane,” he told the Post. But a pandemic is an event that unfolds over 12 to 18 months, and the plan is now “in flux,” he said. In related news, Leavitt said during his Southeast Asian visit that the United States is pleased with Thailand’s cooperation in battling avian flu, according to an Agence France-Presse report today. Leavitt said the US wants “to have that same relationship with others in the world.” Oct 10, 2005 (CIDRAP News) – A not-yet-released version of the Bush administration’s plan for dealing with an influenza pandemic predicts that such an event could exact an enormous toll in life and wealth, according to recent newspaper reports. See also: But according to the Post story, HHS spokeswoman Christina Pearson said the agency is still getting comments on the plan, and releasing it now would be “totally premature.”last_img read more

Energean gets class approval for Karish-Tanin FPSO design

first_imgGreek oil and gas company Energean Oil & Gas has received Class approval from DNV GL for the basic design of the new-build floating production storage and offloading (FPSO) that will be deployed at its deep water Karish-Tanin development, offshore Israel.This rapid obtainment of class approval from the global quality assurance body reflects the maturity of the FPSO design at final investment decision (FID) and keeps the development on track to cut first steel as planned before the end of 2018, Energean commented on Tuesday.According to Energean’s field development plan, which was approved in August 2017, the Karish main development envisages drilling three wells, using an FPSO unit that will be located approximately 90 km offshore with a production capacity of 400 mmscf/day. The Tanin Area Development will follow the development of Karish and envisages drilling six wells connected to the same FPSO.The FID for this $1.6 billion worth project was made in late March, following the securing of financing for the project through an agreement with four international banks earlier that month.Energean added on Tuesday that early class approval was viewed as a critical milestone and its on schedule achievement validates the adopted strategy of building upon an existing hull design from TechnipFMC subsidiary, Inocean.To remind, TechnipFMC was in March awarded a $1.36 billion contract for the construction of the FPSO for the Karish-Tanin project with a production capacity of 8 BCM per year.It is also worth mentioning that the Israeli Supreme Court earlier in May dismissed a petition against Energean’s Karish-Tanin development, which had been filed by Hof Hacarmel Regional Council against the Israeli Ministry of Energy, the Petroleum Commissioner, two planning and construction authorities, Energean Israel, and an environmental union of local authorities for Sharon-Carmel.Offshore Energy Today Stafflast_img read more

Star Lager Celebrates Eagles’ AFCON 2019 Feat with Fans

first_imgAccording to Portfolio Manager National Premium, Sarah Agha, the celebration has been launched online and features the original Shine Shine Bobo (Burna Boy) himself raising a well done salute to the Super Eagles.Burna Boy was a prominent face across the Star Fan Parks scattered across the major cities in the country during the #ShineonNaija campaign which helped muster the needed support for the Super EaglesThe simple process in which fans are encouraged to shine on and celebrate the Super Eagles has been outlined.The first step will require fans to follow the official Star Nigeria page @star_ng on Twitter, Facebook and instagram.They would then be required to record a 5 – 10 secs clip hailing the Super Eagles for a successful outing at the AFCON games which they would upload on social media.Fans will tag @star_ng, repost and use the hashtag #ShineonNaija.The posts with at least 100 likes on social win packs of Star Lager beer.Since the robust relationship between Star Lager beer and Nigeria Football Federation (NFF), last year February, Nigerian football domestic scene as continued to soar as Super Eagles status rose from mere participant to continental contender and it was not a fluke that the team place third among the 24 contending nations at the last AFCON tournament in Egypt.Star Lager through its Fan Park activation on match days of the national team have been able to restore a solid fan based for the team similar to passion Nigerian fans attached to major football clubs in European leagues.Share this:FacebookRedditTwitterPrintPinterestEmailWhatsAppSkypeLinkedInTumblrPocketTelegram Foremost premium beer, Star Lager during the week continued its celebration of the Super Eagles feat at the just concluded AFCON 2019 by engaging with fans and rewarding them accordingly.Star Lager, the Official Beer for the Super Eagles supported the team all through the tournament in Egypt and even though the original mission of winning a fourth AFCON title was not achieved, the brand and indeed Nigerians are proud of the Eagles who won a record eight AFCON bronze medal barely a week ago.Dubbed ‘TWALE FOR THE EAGLES’ the celebratory message is designed to encourage Nigerians to celebrate their superstars for a successful outing at the continent’s biggest football competitionlast_img read more