US plan paints grim picture of flu pandemic

first_img The New York Times, which obtained a recent draft of the plan, said it describes a worst-case scenario in which the flu would kill more than 1.9 million Americans, put 8.5 million in hospitals, and cost more than $450 billion. The administration has said it has 4.3 million treatment courses of oseltamivir (Tamiflu) and is aiming for 20 million. However, infectious disease expert Michael T. Osterholm said the draft plan obtained by the Times is out of date. “There have been tremendous improvements in the plan over the last week to 10 days,” an Oct 9 report in the Washington Post quoted Osterholm as saying. He is director of the University of Minnesota Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, publisher of this site. Osterholm confirmed that the plan predicts a death toll as high as 1.9 million, with as many as half of all Americans getting sick. The new draft predicts that an emerging pandemic in Asia, where widespread avian flu has killed more than 60 people and generated fear of an epidemic, would be likely to reach US shores in a few months or even weeks, the Times said in an Oct 8 report. Quarantines and travel restrictions, while recommended, probably would not postpone the disease’s arrival “by more than a month or two.” According to the Times, the plan says the nation should have the capacity to produce 600 million doses of vaccine within 6 months, more than 10 times the current capacity. It also calls for a national stockpile of 133 million treatment courses of antiviral drugs. One section of the plan, the Times reported, describes a hypothetical scenario in which severe respiratory illness erupts in a village overseas in April, reaches the United States in June, and triggers small outbreaks around the nation by July. When scientists isolate the virus, as the scenario goes, they determine that the avian flu vaccine developed in advance will provide only partial protection. Aug 26, 2004, CIDRAP News story on earlier draft of the US pandemic plan Release of the draft plan has been expected for weeks. HHS Secretary Mike Leavitt, now visiting Southeast Asia to promote pandemic preparedness, said the plan would be released in a few days, according to an Associated press (AP) report published today. Under the plan, he told the newspaper, the military probably would be used to help move critical supplies and guard vaccination centers. But the document foresees only a small role for quarantines, and many decisions on how to manage disruptions and shortages would be made by local, not national, officials. Leavitt is accompanied on his tour by World Health Organization Director-General Lee Jong-Wook. On the crucial question of who would get vaccine first in a pandemic, the plan’s answer is workers who make the vaccines and flu drugs, along with medical personnel caring for flu patients, the Times story said. Following them would be the elderly and severely ill, pregnant women, transplant and AIDS patients, and parents of babies. Firefighters and government leaders would be next. Those numbers suggest that the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) is taking a more somber view of the risks than it did in the previous draft plan, released in August 2004. That document cited earlier estimates that pandemic flu could cause between 89,000 and 207,000 deaths in the United States. The document says a pandemic could overwhelm hospitals, touch off riots at vaccination clinics, and lead to power and food shortages, the newspaper said. Until recently, the plan regarded a pandemic as “more like an earthquake or hurricane,” he told the Post. But a pandemic is an event that unfolds over 12 to 18 months, and the plan is now “in flux,” he said. In related news, Leavitt said during his Southeast Asian visit that the United States is pleased with Thailand’s cooperation in battling avian flu, according to an Agence France-Presse report today. Leavitt said the US wants “to have that same relationship with others in the world.” Oct 10, 2005 (CIDRAP News) – A not-yet-released version of the Bush administration’s plan for dealing with an influenza pandemic predicts that such an event could exact an enormous toll in life and wealth, according to recent newspaper reports. See also: But according to the Post story, HHS spokeswoman Christina Pearson said the agency is still getting comments on the plan, and releasing it now would be “totally premature.”last_img read more

Ellsworth, Bucksport wrestling teams begin regular seasons

first_imgELLSWORTH — After several preseason meets and tournaments, the Ellsworth and Bucksport wrestling teams began their 2017-18 regular seasons with road contests Saturday afternoon.Ellsworth traveled to Waldo County to face Belfast, Medomak Valley and Oceanside over the weekend and competed admirably despite numerous injuries. The Eagles fell to a one-point defeat against Belfast before losing to a talented Medomak team but finished the day with a 51-12 win over Oceanside.Logan Lord and Peyton Cole continued their dominance by going 3-0 on the day. Another top performer for Ellsworth was Landon St. Peter, who went unbeaten at 113 pounds.At Penobscot Valley High School in Howland, Bucksport competed in a large tournament that included 14 eastern Maine teams. The Golden Bucks finished the day in third place.This is placeholder textThis is placeholder textWinners for Bucksport were Travis Hutchinson at 106 pounds and Foster Ashmore at 120 pounds. Ricky Perkins also starred for the Golden Bucks with three wins at 160 pounds.Ellsworth and Bucksport competed Wednesday at Piscataquis and Mattanawcook Academy, respectively. Both are in action at 9:30 a.m. Saturday, Dec. 16, for a tournament at Mountain Valley High School.last_img read more

Edin Dzeko in the Top 10 of AS Roma Football Players!

first_imgThe captain of BiH football representation Edin Dzeko has entered the history of AS Roma with a hat-trick against Plzen yesterday night. In his 147thmatch playing for Roma, he made his 77th goal!The last goal he scored put him in the top 10 top scorers of the 91-year-old club, which is truly a great success for Dzeko.Dzeko could manage, by the end of this season, to reach the seventh position with 82 goals. The following are the top 10 AS Roma footballers:1. Francesco Totti 3072. Roberto Pruzzo 1383. Amedeo Amadei 1114. Rodolfo Volk 1065. Pedro Manfredini 1046. Vincenzo Montella 1027. Abel Balbo 878. Marco Delvecchio 819. Dino Da Costa 7910. Edin Dzeko 77last_img read more

Jaedyn Ledesma finishes 22nd at cross country meet in Wamego, Belle Plaine’s Balster finishes 5th

first_imgJaedyn Ledesmaby Tracy McCue, Sumner Newscow — Wellington High School Senior, Jaedyn Ledesma finished 22nd, out of 104 girls, with a time of 16:36.The temperature was in the 40’s  at the Wamego Golf course, on Saturday.“Jaedyn had a good race and beat a number of girls she had not beaten this season,” said Charles Wallace, Wellington cross country coach. “It was a run, well ran.  She has had a great season.”Class 4A state girls medalists are as follows:Team results—De Soto 56, Baldwin 70, Paola 90, Winfield 129, Wichita-Trinity 157; Clay Center 169, Hayden 179, Girard 192, Hugoton 219, Rose Hill 219, Eudora 233, Buhler 297.Individual medalists—1.Cailie Logue, Girard, 15:22.20; 2. Hallie Helfrich, Pratt, 15:53.41; 3. Katren Rienbolt, Fort Scott, 15:58.13; 4. Katie Jo Kirk, Paola, 15:59.64; 5. Sarah Jaloma, Atchison, 16:00.89; 6. Meredith Wolfe, De Soto, 16:01.65; 7. Cassie Westoff, Fort Scott, 16:02.34; 8. Jocie Howland, El Dorado, 16:04.08; 9. Christian Provence, Girard, 16:05.03; 10. Andrea Browne, Colby, 16:06.51; 11. Mckenzie Thiel, Winfield, 16:13.10; 12. Emily Terrel, Rose Hill, 16:15.40; 13. Annie Schmucker, De Soto, 16:18.91; 14. Rebekah, De Soto, 16:19.04; 15. Daelynn Anderson, Baldwin, 16:28.22; 16. Taylor Jameson, Frontenac, 16:28.76; 17. Addie Dick, Baldwin, 16:29.38; 18. Chisholm Branscum, Ulysses, 16:30.22; 19. Mackenzie Russell, Baldwin, 16:32.33; 20. Katy Heger, Hugoton, 16:33.11.•••••Tyler Balsters of Belle Plaine finished fifth in the Class 3A state cross country meet. He ran with a time of 17:10.3. Close Forgot password? Please put in your email: Send me my password! Close message Login This blog post All blog posts Subscribe to this blog post’s comments through… RSS Feed Subscribe via email Subscribe Subscribe to this blog’s comments through… RSS Feed Subscribe via email Subscribe Follow the discussion Comments (2) Logging you in… Close Login to IntenseDebate Or create an account Username or Email: Password: Forgot login? Cancel Login Close Username or Email: Password: Lost your password? Cancel Login Dashboard | Edit profile | Logout Logged in as Admin Options Disable comments for this page Save Settings Sort by: Date Rating Last Activity Loading comments… You are about to flag this comment as being inappropriate. Please explain why you are flagging this comment in the text box below and submit your report. The blog admin will be notified. Thank you for your input. +1 Vote up Vote down Dragon Fan · 353 weeks ago Devyn Smith finished 9th for Belle Plaine on the girls side! Way to go Devyn!! Report Reply 0 replies · active 353 weeks ago +1 Vote up Vote down Sally · 353 weeks ago congratulations jaedyn Report Reply 0 replies · active 353 weeks ago Post a new comment Enter text right here! Comment as a Guest, or login: Login to IntenseDebate Login to Login to Twitter Go back Tweet this comment Connected as (Logout) Email (optional) Not displayed publicly. Name Email Website (optional) Displayed next to your comments. Not displayed publicly. If you have a website, link to it here. Posting anonymously. Tweet this comment Submit Comment Subscribe to None Replies All new comments Comments by IntenseDebate Enter text right here! Reply as a Guest, or login: Login to IntenseDebate Login to Login to Twitter Go back Tweet this comment Connected as (Logout) Email (optional) Not displayed publicly. Name Email Website (optional) Displayed next to your comments. Not displayed publicly. If you have a website, link to it here. Posting anonymously. Tweet this comment Cancel Submit Comment Subscribe to None Replies All new commentslast_img read more